I saw the post draft hype about Tre Mason. Honestly, I started to get slightly worried about the prospect of Zac Stacy. However the more I read about Zac Stacy and his 2013 production, the better I feel. I love Zac Stacy in fantasy standard leagues in 2014 and I think he's here to stay. In fact, I think worrying about Tre Mason is a waste of everyones time.
I hear the arguments that the Rams didn't waste a 3rd round pick on a running back that isn't going to play. I completely agree. However the good thing for the Rams running backs is that Jeff Fisher loves to run the ball, in fact he's a huge fan of Zac Stacy. An even bigger fan than I am, if you can believe it.
Jeff Fisher was recently quoted as saying that he envisions Stacy as the guy who carries 70% of the workload for the Rams moving forward. That means there's 30% of carries for Tre Mason to be worked in, which leaves a ton of fantasy points for Stacy.
The Numbers Don't Lie
As a head coach Jeff Fisher loves to run the ball. While he was the head coach of the Titans, Chris Johnson saw 925 of 1,413 attempts from 2008-10. If you break that number down it translates to roughly 65% of the teams rushes. That's not even the 70% that he's claiming for Stacy.
However don't take my word for it, here are some numbers broken down by RotoWorld:
- 8 Total seasons with more than 25 rushes/game
- 11 Total seasons with more than 20 rushes/game
Of course that doesn't mean that Stacy is going to be getting all of those touches, but if history is an indicator, you've gotta believe it'll be his job to start the season.
The Coaching Staff & Offseason Additions
You also need to keep in mind that the Rams' offensive coordinator is Brian Schottenheimer who was in charge of the furious rush game of the New York Jets.
During his years with the Jets they finished 1st, 2nd, 10th and 12th in rushing attempts per game. That's a pretty promising match with a head coach like Fisher who loves to run the ball.
Let's not forget about the Rams offseason moves. They added an offensive lineman in the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft, the first time Fisher has done so in his 18 years as a head coach. It will help fix a line that was in tough shape last year in addition to providing more protection for both Bradford and Stacy.
At the end of the day it's all about finding value in players that other people don't. I think there's a ton of fantasy value in Zac Stacy and I think there are a lot of people who are scared away by his injury history and the addition of Tre Mason.
I can't blame anyone for looking at the negatives and choosing to avoid him, however I'd be thrilled to have him fall into my lap. Tre Mason is talented and will get his chance eventually, I just don't believe that chance will come in 2014.
For the record, I never actually played football. I have no doubt that I would get crushed running across the middle for a pass, every single time.
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