Fantasy Advice

Start Em & Sit Em: Thanksgiving Day Edition

By November 27, 2014 No Comments

First off, Happy Thanksgiving to everyone out there. We send our thanks to those who serve to protect us and to allow us to celebrate Thanksgiving and every other day on the calendar.

We hope you spend the day with family and friends, watching football, eating delicious food, drinking heavily and of course getting a serious head start to this weeks fantasy football matchup.

Thanksgiving this year has 3 games you should already be aware of. If you're not, here they are:

  • 12:30pm EST - Bears vs. Lions
  • 4:30pm EST - Eagles vs. Cowboys
  • 8:30pm EST - Seahawks vs. 49ers

We should have some good football to watch today ladies and gents, so enjoy it while you can.

If I'm being honest, this will be brief. I still have to shovel out from the snow, go play some football and get settled before the first games. So here we go.

Bears vs. Lions

Fantasy Football in 2014

Start: Matt Stafford

Not for the weary of heart as he hasn't had a passing TD in two straight games and has let owners down recently. But he offers plenty of upside today against the Bears as they have allowed 25 TD passes (2nd in NFL) and Kyle Fuller, the Bears top corner, is expected to be limited or miss the game. - QB1

Start: Calvin Johnson

If you own him you're playing him. He remains a WR1. I'm not worried about nothin. - WR1

Start: Joique Bell

Bell has had 16 or more touches in five of his last 6 games. I think he has a good shot to hit paydirt here. Although the Bears have quietly been good against the run (holding opponents to 3.93YPC) he should have some chances to run against a vulnerable Bears defense. With Bush ruled out look for him to get the lions share of the work. - Low RB2/High Flex

Sit: Reggie Bush - He's Officially Ruled Out

The guy has been hurt. The expected snap count is unpredictable and you can't feel good about playing him. If you're playing him you're probably in a really bad spot. - Sit

Sit: Jay Cutler

He's been Jekyll & Hyde all season long. It's likely we see bad Jay on Thanksgiving. This Lions defense ranks #3 in total defense, #1 in points allowed and #5 in interceptions. Cutler loves to throw interceptions. I'm avoiding if I can. - Sit

Start: Alshon and Marshall

Start them. Despite my concerns about Cutler they will still get their looks. Don't be dumb. - WR2

Sit: Martellus Bennett

Bennett has cooled after a hot start, we don't love Cutler in this game and he's averaging 3.3 receptions and less than 50 yds a game. Also, the Lions only allowed 1 TD to TE's in their last 5 games, minus last week against the Pats. You may not have another option, but we don't love Bennett. I'm starting him but I don't feel good about it. - TE2

Start: Matt Forte

He's the centerpiece of that offense. Start him with confidence. The Lions allow the 2nd most receptions to RBs and third most receiving yards. Carry on. - RB1

Eagles vs. Cowboys

Fantasy 2014

Start: Tony Romo

Romo carved up (see the thanksgiving reference?) the Jags and Giants for 521 yards and 7 TDs. Philly's defense has allowed the 3rd most passing TD's (24) in the NFL. He can be a rollercoaster to watch as an owner, but on Thanksgiving, over the past 5, he's averging over 300 yards and 2 TD's. He also has three 20-point fantasy games in the past 4 this year. Start him - QB1

Start: Dez Bryant

He's Dez. And he's had a TD and/or 100+ yards in 9 of his last 10 games. The Eagles have given up some notable stat lines since their bye. I think we'll be adding Dez to that list. - WR1 

Start: Jason Witten

The tight end position is a mess, but Jason Witten has been fairly consistent at an inconsistent position. He has had 6+ targets in 4 straight with a TD in 3 of them. The Eagles left Delaine Walker free for a big game and the Panthers TE's went for 7 catches and 126 yards in week 10. He doesn't have the upside of some guys, but he should be a gamble TE1 if you're feeling lucky. -Risky TE1

Start: DeMarco Murray

You're starting him. The matchup isn't ideal as the Eagles are good against the run, but Murray has been very consistent. He's rushed for 100+ yards is every game but 1 and he's due for a touchdown after not having one in 4 straight. - RB1

Sit: Terrance Williams

Wiliams production has fallen off significantly. He's only topped 20 yards in one of the last 5 games and he now has a broken fingertip. He should have been out of your lineup weeks ago, but if he wasn't, get him out now. -Desperate Play

Start: LeSean McCoy

You've stuck it out this long with McCoy and he rewarded you last week. Although you're likely out of the playoff hunt if you drafted him. He's not the same guy he was last year, but he's remained a high volume back in Kelly's offense. He's on pace for more carries than he had last season. He's got a TD and/or 90+ yards in 6 of his last games. - Mid RB1

Sit: Darren Sproles

He has big play ability and has done it on special teams. He's an exciting guy that can go off at any moment, but a risk I'm not willing to take. Consider him a risky Flex play. -Risky Flex

Start: Mark Sanchez

The Cowboys defense has allowed 8.19YPA and 9TDs to just 4INT over the last 5 games. With Vegas giving this the 2nd highest over-under of the week, look for Sanchez to be slinging it. - QB1

Start: Jeremy Maclin

He faces off with  with Brandon Carr, whom was burnt by Beckham in week 12 for 146 yards and 2 TD's. He won't give you those numbers, but start with confidence. - WR1

Start: Jordan Matthews

Sanchez and Matthews clearly have a connection. With the high over under the ball is going to be thrown somewhere. Matthews is a WR2 for me. - WR2

Sit: Zach Ertz

I don't get the love for Ertz. The guy has the talent but his snap rates over the past two weeks are 35% and 31%. Please stay away from him. -TE2

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Fantasy Football Matches for 2014

Sit: Russell Wilson

Not an inspiring history for Wilson's fantasy impact tonight. in 5 meetings he has 848 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Add in 25 rushes for 74 yards and you're not in love with the outlook. Vegas has this pegged as the lowest over-under of the week, which means it'll likely be a low scoring affair. The 49ers rank #2 in pass defense and #1 in interceptions. He's a borderline QB1 which I'd avoid. - High QB2

Start: Marshawn Lynch

He's the definition of an every week starter. He's not what he was at the start of the year, but he still produces despite the injury concern. Start Lynch. - RB1 

Sit: Everyone Else on Seattle

There's not much else fantasy relevant on offense for the Seahawks for standard leagues. You can say Baldwin is a WR3/WR4 if need be. But don't got inserting him into your lineups out of the blue. - Sit

Sit: Colin Kaepernick

In 4 starts against Seattle he's thrown for 699 yards, 3 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He has had some success on the ground, but it's not going to be enough to save his fantasy value this week. - Mid-Low QB2 

Start: Crabtree and Boldin

There's nothing inspiring about either of their matchups. Both will likely see Richard Sherman at some point and I consider them both WR3 options.

Sit: Vernon Davis

Surprisingly the Seahawks are vulnerable to TE's. They have given up the 2nd most TDs (10) this year. However Davis is simply dropping passes I could catch and he isn't trustworthy. - Low TE2

Fantasy Football Impact of Thanksgiving Games

There are likely to be plenty of fantasy points scored today, make sure you set your lineups and are ready to have some fun.

If things don't fall your way grab some more turkey and alcohol and enjoy the company of family and friends.

Remember, this is your team. Don't take my analysis as gospel or use it as the sole decision making tool. It's here to help but at the end of the day you need to be able to live with the choice you make. Choose wisely my friends.

Is there someone we missed? Let us know below. We always love to talk fantasy football.

 

Nick Schreck

Nick Schreck

I’m a simple man with simple pleasures. As someone who’s always approached life with the attitude that things could be worse, I’ve had an awesome time so far. I've been a fantasy addict for nearly a decade, and I've loved every second of it.

For the record, I never actually played football. I have no doubt that I would get crushed running across the middle for a pass, every single time.
Nick Schreck