Fantasy Advice

So You’re Saying There’s a Chance: The Case for Eddie Lacy At #1

By July 28, 2015 No Comments

Why Am I Writing This?

I know the lovely, talented and always beautiful Nick Schreck usually does these but I forcefully intruded on his running article series to shout my opinion in your face. Let’s talk about why Eddie Lacy should be taken number one overall this fantasy season.

One Is The Loneliest Number

It seems like the #1 pick is becoming more and more undesirable to fantasy football players every year. The pressure…the indecision…the larger value pool at the end of the first round. It’s pure mayhem.

But if you do happen to be cursed with the first pick for the 2015 fantasy season I wholehearted believe that Eddie Lacy is the man to take.

Let's take a look at how his 2014 campaign made me reach this conclusion.

The Sophomore Slump Scare

Yea how do you like that alliteration?

Anyway, I owned Mr. Lacy last year after taking him with the 5th pick in the 1st round. I was pretty pumped on draft day but after he shit the bed weeks 1-3 I fell into a state of panic. As I'm sure every Lacy owner did.

I took a second year running back with my first pick? How could I be so blind…so stupid. Doubt was eating me alive but I ultimately decided to stick with him.

And thank God I did.

From Slump to Savior

Alliteration.

After the abysmal start to the season Eddie Lacy finally began to produce. He scored double-digit fantasy points in week 4 and never looked back.

After week 3, Lacy was incredibly consistent as he scored 10+ points in 11 of the remaining 12 games. At the end of the 2014 season Lacy finished with 66% of the backfield work as the Packers ran the ball around 44% of the time.

The point I am trying to convey is Lacy was dependable and consistent despite his slow start. And what are the characteristics that the #1 overall pick should possess? You guess it. Dependability and consistency.

I get the appeal of wanting to go big or go home with the other candidates for the 1st overall pick, really I do.  It's just that Lacy provides so much security while the other top guys don't. His job is safe, his workload is safe and his fantasy value is safe.

Don't get greedy when choosing the first player off the board.  There's no reason to get risky so early on in the draft.

That’s what the 8th round is for…stupid reaches on guys you like.

Lace Up for 2015

The reason Lacy is able to be so reliable and productive is because of the opportunities that the Packers offense will give him all year. They are a constant threat to score every time they have the ball regardless of field position. The presence of Aaron Rodgers usually keeps the box from being stacked and allows Lacy to go to work.

Don't forget to keep it simple. Eddie Lacy is the outright workhorse back for Green Bay. It’s hard to pass on that type of production when so many other backfields are now committees or undecided.

And if you're into handcuffing the obvious choice is James Starks. He's proven to be able to come in and produce decent numbers as a reserve running back. Should Lacy miss any time, Starks is an adequate replacement if you're in a pinch.

To anyone in PPR leagues, worry not. Lacy is an underrated pass catcher and will be very involved in the passing game. His receiving totals increased from 2013 to 2014 and had more receiving yards, and catches than Jamaal Charles in 2014.

Also, in the Packers 12 wins of 2015 Lacy was able to catch 28 passes for 273 yards and 4 touchdowns. In their 4 loses he caught 14 passes for 154 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Consensus: more passes for Lacy equals more wins. He will be a big part of the passing game this year for sure.

The Overall Verdict on Lacy at #1

Will Eddie Lacy be the best player in fantasy football this year? Probably not. But he is the safest. And you can’t go wrong with being safe at #1.

This photo is courtesy and copyrighted by Kyle Engman via Flickr. This image is being used in accordance with Creative Commons and all rights are reserved by Kyle Engman.

Vinny Gonzalez

Vinny Gonzalez

Sr. Fantasy Analyst at Let's Talk Fantasy Football
I absolutely hated fantasy football back in 2009. But what happened next was simply amazing. I fell in love. And I've loved fantasy football since.
Vinny Gonzalez